The Second Kenyan Presidential Debate: Two Flawed Front-Runners = A Run-Off

Posted on February 2, 2013


I had the opportunity to watch the Second Kenyan Presidential Debate last night with my Kenayan friends.  As an American observer, it was obvious that the two front-runners, Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga, are both deeply flawed candidates at this point.

If Kenyatta wins, it will means the country will spend the next 5 years in The Hague at the ICC.  For Odinga, the hard question is:  What have you been doing about all of these problems the last 5 years as Prime Minister?

Barring some shocking outcome, it looks like both of these candidates will get around 45% +/- 1 or 2 %.  Expect Mundavadi to come in third with around 5%, and Peter Kenneth will most likely come in fourth with 2-3% of the vote.  However, it wouldn’t shock me if Kenneth comes in third due to strong support among Nairobi’s young urban professionals.


please install flash

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